Private Beta
The risk graph for market-moving companies
Paper trade 29 curated quarterly contracts on the companies whose valuations move the market most. Real peer matching, $1,000 starting balance, invite-only.
Beta Markets
29Companies
50Beta Traders
212Total Volume
$322,609Framework
Every company, same template
01
Extract Drivers
Earnings transcripts and annual reports are parsed to identify KPIs executives repeatedly emphasize.
02
Map Risks
Recurring topics become operational, regulatory, competitive, and capital allocation risks.
03
Standardize Markets
15–25 contracts per company with objective settlement from earnings, SEC filings, or regulatory data.
04
Build the Graph
Cross-company dependencies connect — Taiwan supply chain, cloud spending, export controls.
Market Impact Index
The 50 that move the market
Cross-Company Dependencies
A business risk knowledge graph
One event — a Taiwan disruption, enterprise spending slowdown, or new export restrictions — affects multiple companies simultaneously. The moat is the structured dataset.
Explore Risk GraphTaiwan Supply Chain Risk
GeopoliticalTaiwan Strait disruption or major fab outage
Enterprise Cloud Spending
MacroEnterprise IT budget contraction or AI capex surge
The Real Asset
30 real contracts. Peer paper trading. One risk graph.
The prediction market is the distribution layer. The structured database of business risks — with resolution data, probability histories, and dependency maps — is the moat.